Perhaps I’m not up on main stream baseball dogma, but I don’t know as I’ve ever heard anyone postulate what you stated. I know I’ve always tracked hitters success leading of an inning, batters leading off innings scoring for pitchers, and other such things, but I never tried to break it down because to me there was very little anyone could do to control it either from the offensive or defensive side.
Originally Posted by Memphis
I don’t work with MLB numbers, but I’m pretty sure it anyone wanted to find out, all they’d have to do is run some fairly uncomplicated SQL statements.
Here’s what I can say from the HS data I have.
# 1st batters a pitcher faces or to start an inning who reach safely on Hit, Error, walk, HBP, PB, WP, FC, or CI – 631
# of those batters reaching that score – 344
To tell the truth, that tells me more than I really want to know because it shows the chance a runner who reaches under those conditions scores about 55% of the time.
The pitcher who’s afraid to throw strikes, will soon be standing in the shower with the hitter who's afraid to swing.