View Full Version : All-Star Incumbency
I'm not sure if this belongs in history or trivia, but considering we're in the All-Star break I got to wondering:
What percentage of MLB all-stars throughout history are called back for at least one more all-star game? Does anyone have this statistic?
I would think with a sample size that large we could get an approximation of the chances of a young all-star this year like Dan Haren or Prince Fielder to return... or a veteran like Manny Ramirez to keep going.
Ubiquitous
07-11-2007, 10:18 AM
As of 2006 there have been 1466 players that have played in the All-Star game. Roughly 57% of them have returned for another All-star game including the new 2006 AS players returning for 2007.
Wow. Actually that's a little lower than I thought it would be. So chances are only a bit over half that any of these players from the 2007 All-Star game will be back.
That stat should give people pause before they anoint someone in their prime the next all-time great / HOFer. Great job -- I thought that would be hard to look up!
brett
07-12-2007, 08:59 AM
Wow. Actually that's a little lower than I thought it would be. So chances are only a bit over half that any of these players from the 2007 All-Star game will be back.
Not quite. While 43% of all star players have been 1 timers, multiple appearance players take more than 57% of the spots on the all star teams throughout history.
Lets say over two years we have 30 30 30 and 30 spots in each league in each year, 44 repeat players=88 spots and the other 32 spots would be one timers.
So while 57% of the players would be one timers 44 of 76 (about), 72% of the spots in any one year will be multiples.
Ubiquitous
07-12-2007, 08:59 AM
Well when you think about the fact the one player per team rule it kind of makes sense that it would be around half.